Putin’s nuclear forces on high alert spark fears, but experts debate the likelihood of escalation.
Vladimir Putin’s announcement placing Russia’s strategic nuclear forces on high alert has raised global concerns about the potential for nuclear conflict. The Russian president cited “unfriendly actions in the economic sphere,” referring to sanctions, and “aggressive statements” from NATO leaders as reasons for this move.
On Monday, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov further attributed the escalation to comments by UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, though he did not specify which remarks. Allies of Ms Truss dismissed this claim, arguing her statements did not justify such an action.
What Does Putin’s Announcement Mean?
During a televised meeting with top defence officials, Putin ordered nuclear forces to adopt a “special regime of combat duty.” Patricia Lewis of Chatham House explained this likely changes the status from peacetime checks to a legal framework allowing potential launches.
Despite this, Professor Malcolm Chalmers of RUSI noted no visible changes in Russia’s nuclear posture. He suggested the announcement serves as a stark reminder of Russia’s nuclear capability, rather than an immediate threat. Defence Secretary Ben Wallace described the situation as a “battle of rhetoric,” urging caution but downplaying immediate escalation risks.
Would Putin Launch a Nuclear Attack?
Experts remain divided on whether Putin would proceed with a nuclear strike. While some emphasise the catastrophic consequences of mutual destruction, others highlight the unpredictability of leaders like Putin.
Ms Lewis pointed out that while combat readiness enables an attack, the decision remains uncertain: “He wants to frighten us, exploiting the West’s greater fear of nuclear weapons.” However, she stressed that using such weapons is typically a last resort.
Professor Chalmers argued that initiating nuclear conflict would unleash devastating global consequences, deterring all parties involved. He deemed such an act “unlikely,” given the risks of escalation to full-scale nuclear warfare.
What Are Russia’s Nuclear Capabilities?
According to the Federation of American Scientists, Russia has a stockpile of approximately 4,477 warheads. This includes 1,588 strategic warheads deployable on ballistic missiles and heavy bombers, with additional reserves and nonstrategic warheads.
Global Implications of a Nuclear Attack
If Russia were to target a NATO country, the response could involve collective retaliation, escalating to catastrophic levels. Casualties would depend on the attack’s location, with urban areas facing devastating loss of life and potential radiation poisoning.
The Bigger Picture
Globally, other nations also hold significant nuclear arsenals. The United States leads with 5,428 warheads, followed by Russia. The UK, France, China, and several other nations maintain smaller stockpiles, reflecting the continued global presence of these destructive weapons.
While tensions remain high, experts stress the importance of measured responses and ongoing dialogue to prevent catastrophic outcomes. For now, Putin’s announcement serves as a sobering reminder of the stakes involved in modern conflicts.
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The first day’s journey was through the pink fields
The first day’s journey was through the pink fields